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UX STRATEGY • PRODUCT DESIGN

Research. Strategy. Systems Design. AI.

I design products that help people understand and trust systems they can't fully see — from machine vision overlays to GPS-connected hardware. That's been my work for over two decades. AI just made it more interesting. (See how I'm integrating AI into my design process.)

Video_overlay.png

Machine Vision

geneva-one.jpg

Wearable

nostradamus-convergence.png

AI • AGEnts

22

YEARS EXPERIENCE

3

TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES

Multiple

PATENTS FILED/GRANTED

01

Selected Work

Case Studies

Global Trend Engine

Designer & Builder

Self-Initiated

1 week

An agentic AI dashboard where three agents — a multi-persona scanner, Nostradamus, and Tarot — scan the web for frontier signals, synthesize patterns, and generate predictive convergence insights — designed, built, and deployed with Claude.

AI Product DesignAgentic SystemsData VisualizationFuturologyPrompt Engineering

Lytx Video Overlay

Senior UX Designer

Lytx

4 months

A dynamic video overlay that simplifies customer coaching conversations, improving user trust, and reducing contention rate to near zero.

Machine VisionUser ResearchVisual Design

Lytx Driver ID

Senior UX Designer

Lytx

3 months

A systematic user flow for assignment, distribution, and usage of QR codes to assign drivers to vehicles.

System DesignUser ResearchQA TestingHardware Prototyping

Timex Ironman ONE GPS+

UX Design Lead

Qualcomm / Timex

3 years

A full 0-to-1 product experience for athletes who wanted to track workouts, stay connected, and leave their phones behind.

FitnessWearablesPatentHardware UX

Tagg the Pet Tracker

UX Design & Product Management

Qualcomm

1.5 years

Redesign of a pet activity monitoring and management of iOS/Android app development as both UX lead and product manager.

Mobile DesigniOSAndroidSystem DesignProduct Management

FLO TV Personal Television

UX Design Lead

Qualcomm / FLO TV

1 year

Designing a new product category from the ground up: live mobile television.

Ethnographic ResearchUsability TestingUX DesignSystem DesignDesign Team Management

02

Expertise

Skills

User Research

Interviews, usability tests, ethnographic study, and contextual inquiry

Journey Mapping

End-to-end experience mapping across touchpoints

Interaction Design

Flows, wireframes, use cases, and high-fidelity mockups

Storytelling

Communicating design decisions to executives and cross-functional teams

Systems Thinking

Mapping connected flows and designing for scalability across surfaces

Prototyping

From low-fi click-throughs to high-fidelity AI coding

AI Fluency

Designing AI-powered experiences and using AI tools in the design process

Stakeholder Management

Cross-functional collaboration and design advocacy

Tools

Claude (Design/Code)

Research synthesis, design, prototyping, and documentation

Figma

Components, variants, auto-layout, and prototyping

Sketch

Vector UI design for components and high-fidelity screens

Axure RP

High-fidelity prototyping with conditional logic

Pendo

In-app guidance, feature tracking, and user surveys

Amplitude

Funnels, retention, and feature-adoption analysis

Dovetail

Centralized research insights and customer intelligence

Atlassian (Confluence/Jira)

Confluence for design documentation; Jira for planning and cross-functional tracking

03

Background

Experience & Education

2019 - Present

Senior Product Designer

Lytx • San Diego, CA

Research and design of user experience for video-safety and AI products, and development of an AI-native design process for the Product/UX team.

Design SystemsDesign LeadershipMachine Vision AIGenerative AI

2007 - 2018

Sr. Staff UX Designer & Sr. Product Manager

Qualcomm • San Diego, CA

Led 0-to-1 UX and product development for large-scale product start-ups while managing 3rd-party design teams.

Usability TestingPrototypingMobile DesignPatents

2003 - 2007

UI Designer

Nokia • San Diego, CA

Designed new phone features while serving as the only North American member of Nokia's global design-management team.

User TestingWireframingComponent DesignTechnical Writing

1998 - 2002

B.S. Symbolic Systems

Stanford University • Stanford, CA

Interdisciplinary study of computer science, linguistics, philosophy, and psychology with a concentration in human-computer interaction.

HCIComputer ProgrammingNLPCognitive Science

My Résumé

Name

Daniel Rivas

current role

Senior Product Designer

Location

San Diego, CA

04

Blog

Experiments & Musings

Daily Futurology Report

September 18, 2026 at 12:56:14 PM

Model:

Opus 4.8

Forecast:

2026–2028

September opened with four frontier models in seventy-two hours — GPT-6 Astra atop the lineup — and every input those models need stayed rationed: US data centers at 42 GW with only about half the near-term buildout landing on time, 300+ data-center bills across 30 states, China's rare-earth cliff on November 10, the warmest September ever measured with El Niño now at 75% odds of a historic event, and a one-time CRISPR infusion holding a 52% LDL cut for a full year. Through 2028 the binding scarcities are power, minerals, and consent — not capability.

Here's the bet through 2028: the scarce thing was never the intelligence. It's the power, the minerals that build the power, and the patience of the people living next to all of it. Capability is cheap and getting cheaper — four frontier models in a single week makes that about as plainly as anything could. Everything those models need to actually matter is on a clock, and most of the clocks read this fall.


The receipts piled up fast. Forty-two gigawatts of demand against a buildout landing maybe half on time. A pile of states saying not here. A rare-earth cliff on November 10 with no real sign anyone's ready for it. A chip regime that reads tighter on paper than it binds in fact. Every one of those is a countdown, not a trend line — and a countdown resolves on a date whether or not the model on the other side is impressive.


I'd watch this fall into spring the hardest. That's when the rare-earth suspension either lapses or gets waved off at the eleventh hour, when El Niño peaks and starts breaking the things it's forecast to break, when the gas behind the fence turns into poured concrete or stays a rendering, and when 'we put the agents into production' quietly resolves into either 'fine' or 'incident' — and Gartner already figures 40% of firms will pull their agents back by 2027.


Worth holding loosely, though. A moratorium is a negotiation, not a wall; rare-earth cliffs have a habit of getting extended at the last minute, and one already did last October. The buildout probably doesn't stop — it just gets slower, weirder, and more fossil-fueled than the market has it priced. And the thing I keep circling back to is that Cleveland result: the least-hyped item on the whole board might be the one that ages best. The loud seams aren't always the ones that hold.

Cross-Domain Synthesis

Four frontier models shipped in about seventy-two hours to open September — Anthropic's Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on the 1st, Gemini 3.8 Flash on the 2nd, GPT-6 Astra on the 3rd, with Meta's Muse Spark and DeepSeek filling out the same week. That's roughly the fifth time this year the intelligence turned up right when the calendar said it would, mostly at flat prices. So the interesting question stopped being whether the models keep coming. It's whether anything they lean on can move at the same clip. September kept answering the same way: not really.


Start at the wall socket. US data centers are pulling about 42 gigawatts, up from 23 in 2023, and only about half the capacity penciled in for the next year or two is expected to show up on time. There are something like 2,300 gigawatts of projects stuck in interconnection queues, and 56% of the power still comes from fossil fuels — because gas is the one thing you can build in a couple of years instead of a decade. The nuclear everyone keeps announcing is real. It's just not going to power this year's training run.


Then the neighbors. More than 300 data-center bills landed across 30-odd states in six weeks, New York's one-year moratorium is on the books, and there's now a federal pause bill with Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez on it — because the buildout shows up on people's electricity bills long before it shows up in anyone's earnings. Upstream of all of it sits a hard date: China's rare-earth suspension lapses November 10, the 0.1%-by-value rule comes back with it, and six months of watching hasn't turned up much readiness anywhere downstream.


And two forces that never filed for a permit. September is on track to be the warmest September ever measured, a hair past 2023, right after August tied the hottest month on record. El Niño is now at three-in-four odds of a historic event this fall, with fifteen models pushing Niño 3.4 past +3°C and a reservoir of subsurface heat more than 8°C above normal in places. None of that waits on an auction or a ballot.


Meanwhile, in a quiet Cleveland trial, one CRISPR infusion cut people's LDL in half and held it there a full year, and a gene-edited pig kidney kept someone off dialysis for 271 days. No launch week, no ad war, no leaderboard. Which is worth remembering the next time the loudest seam and the one that actually matters turn out not to be the same seam.

05

Horizon: Predictive convergence

Futurology Report — Daily

September 18, 2026 at 12:56:14 PM

AI Model:

Opus 4.8

Forecast:

2026–2028

September opened with four frontier models in seventy-two hours — GPT-6 Astra atop the lineup — and every input those models need stayed rationed: US data centers at 42 GW with only about half the near-term buildout landing on time, 300+ data-center bills across 30 states, China's rare-earth cliff on November 10, the warmest September ever measured with El Niño now at 75% odds of a historic event, and a one-time CRISPR infusion holding a 52% LDL cut for a full year. Through 2028 the binding scarcities are power, minerals, and consent — not capability.

Here's the bet through 2028: the scarce thing was never the intelligence. It's the power, the minerals that build the power, and the patience of the people living next to all of it. Capability is cheap and getting cheaper — four frontier models in a single week makes that about as plainly as anything could. Everything those models need to actually matter is on a clock, and most of the clocks read this fall.


The receipts piled up fast. Forty-two gigawatts of demand against a buildout landing maybe half on time. A pile of states saying not here. A rare-earth cliff on November 10 with no real sign anyone's ready for it. A chip regime that reads tighter on paper than it binds in fact. Every one of those is a countdown, not a trend line — and a countdown resolves on a date whether or not the model on the other side is impressive.


I'd watch this fall into spring the hardest. That's when the rare-earth suspension either lapses or gets waved off at the eleventh hour, when El Niño peaks and starts breaking the things it's forecast to break, when the gas behind the fence turns into poured concrete or stays a rendering, and when 'we put the agents into production' quietly resolves into either 'fine' or 'incident' — and Gartner already figures 40% of firms will pull their agents back by 2027.


Worth holding loosely, though. A moratorium is a negotiation, not a wall; rare-earth cliffs have a habit of getting extended at the last minute, and one already did last October. The buildout probably doesn't stop — it just gets slower, weirder, and more fossil-fueled than the market has it priced. And the thing I keep circling back to is that Cleveland result: the least-hyped item on the whole board might be the one that ages best. The loud seams aren't always the ones that hold.

Signal Intensity

A domain-level score (0-100) representing the volume and momentum of frontier activity detected across the signals in that domain.

AI

94

%

Climate

97

%

BIOTECH

70

%

GEOPOLITICS

85

%

ENERGY

95

%

SOCIETY

93

%

SPACE

63

%

Cross-Domain Synthesis

Four frontier models shipped in about seventy-two hours to open September — Anthropic's Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on the 1st, Gemini 3.8 Flash on the 2nd, GPT-6 Astra on the 3rd, with Meta's Muse Spark and DeepSeek filling out the same week. That's roughly the fifth time this year the intelligence turned up right when the calendar said it would, mostly at flat prices. So the interesting question stopped being whether the models keep coming. It's whether anything they lean on can move at the same clip. September kept answering the same way: not really.


Start at the wall socket. US data centers are pulling about 42 gigawatts, up from 23 in 2023, and only about half the capacity penciled in for the next year or two is expected to show up on time. There are something like 2,300 gigawatts of projects stuck in interconnection queues, and 56% of the power still comes from fossil fuels — because gas is the one thing you can build in a couple of years instead of a decade. The nuclear everyone keeps announcing is real. It's just not going to power this year's training run.


Then the neighbors. More than 300 data-center bills landed across 30-odd states in six weeks, New York's one-year moratorium is on the books, and there's now a federal pause bill with Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez on it — because the buildout shows up on people's electricity bills long before it shows up in anyone's earnings. Upstream of all of it sits a hard date: China's rare-earth suspension lapses November 10, the 0.1%-by-value rule comes back with it, and six months of watching hasn't turned up much readiness anywhere downstream.


And two forces that never filed for a permit. September is on track to be the warmest September ever measured, a hair past 2023, right after August tied the hottest month on record. El Niño is now at three-in-four odds of a historic event this fall, with fifteen models pushing Niño 3.4 past +3°C and a reservoir of subsurface heat more than 8°C above normal in places. None of that waits on an auction or a ballot.


Meanwhile, in a quiet Cleveland trial, one CRISPR infusion cut people's LDL in half and held it there a full year, and a gene-edited pig kidney kept someone off dialysis for 271 days. No launch week, no ad war, no leaderboard. Which is worth remembering the next time the loudest seam and the one that actually matters turn out not to be the same seam.

AI

Four frontier models ship in 72 hours — each pairing raw capability with a gated 'permission' tier

Hire Daniel Rivas

AI

Gartner: 40% of firms to decommission AI agents by 2027; NIST stands up an agent-standards program

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Climate

September 2026 tracks as the warmest September ever measured — after August tied the hottest month on record

Hire Daniel Rivas

Climate

El Niño now at 75% odds of a historic event this fall; 15 models point past +3.0°C

Hire Daniel Rivas

Biotech

Cleveland Clinic: one-time CRISPR infusion holds a 52.5% LDL cut at 12 months

Hire Daniel Rivas

Biotech

Gene-edited pig kidney reaches 271 days dialysis-free; FDA accepts Intellia's lonvo-z

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Geopolitics

Rare-earth cliff holds: China's export-control suspension expires November 10, with the 0.1% rule returning

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Geopolitics

Chip-control enforcement frays: GB300s reach China through data centers in Thailand

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Energy

US data-center demand hits 42 GW; only about half of near-term capacity lands on time

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Energy

Gas is the marginal watt: 56% of data-center power stays fossil as nuclear PPAs pile up but wait

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Society

Data-center backlash goes structural: 300+ bills in 30 states, New York's statewide moratorium on the books

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Society

The bill becomes the ballot: $31M in ads and a Sanders–Ocasio-Cortez moratorium bill make data centers a midterm flashpoint

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Space

SpaceX files with the FCC for up to 1M orbital data-center satellites (~100 GW compute)

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Space

Starcloud hits a $2.3B valuation; Starcloud-2 flies NVIDIA Blackwell in October at 100x the power

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ABOUT ME

Design Philosophy

I bring order to complexity; I've spent over two decades building the tools to do it well.

My path started at Stanford, where a degree in Symbolic Systems gave me something most designers don't have: a foundation that spans both sides of the human-computer divide. From the technical rigor of computer science and formal logic, to the human depth of cognitive psychology and knowledge representation, I learned to hold both perspectives at once and to design from the intersection.

That training became practice at Nokia, Qualcomm, and now Lytx, companies where the problems are large, the systems are complex, and the stakes are real. I've learned that the most important design decisions rarely live on a single screen. They live in the architecture, the mental models, the moments where a user either trusts the product or doesn't.

What drives me today is the challenge of making emerging technology feel human and trustworthy. AI systems can process the world faster than any person, but they still need to communicate their reasoning, surface the right information at the right moment, and earn the confidence of the people who depend on them. That translation problem, from machine intelligence to human understanding, is exactly the kind of complexity I've been working on.

42944735170_124e75130e_z.jpg
icon-systems-before-screens.png

Systems before screens

Every interface is a surface on top of a system. Understanding the system (the data flows, the user mental models, the organizational constraints) is what separates design that scales from design that just looks good in a mockup.

icon-emoji-strategy.png

Strategy and execution, not one or the other

I connect design decisions to business outcomes. That means being in the room when strategy is set, not just when wireframes need approval. It means being able to move between the 30,000-foot view and the pixel-level detail without losing either.

icon-emoji-stakeholder-mgmt.png

Trustworthy by design

The best technology earns trust before it demands it. Whether I'm designing a safety-critical AI product or the home screen on a fitness watch, I start with the question: what does this person need to feel confident taking action?

EDUCATION

B.S. Symbolic Systems

Stanford University

Concentration in HCI

BASED IN

San Diego, CA

CURRENTLY

Senior Product Designer

Lytx

OPEN TO OPPORTUNITIES

Principal/Senior-Level Product Design Roles

In San Diego or Remote

SELECTED WORK

Case Studies

1 week

Designer & Builder

Global Trend Engine

An agentic AI dashboard where three agents — a multi-persona scanner, Nostradamus, and Tarot — scan the web for frontier signals, synthesize patterns, and generate predictive convergence insights — designed, built, and deployed with Claude.

tagsContainer

Read More
Global Trend Engine

4 months

Senior UX Designer

Lytx Video Overlay

A dynamic video overlay that simplifies customer coaching conversations, improving user trust, and reducing contention rate to near zero.

tagsContainer

Read More
Lytx Video Overlay

3 months

Senior UX Designer

Lytx Driver ID

A systematic user flow for assignment, distribution, and usage of QR codes to assign drivers to vehicles.

tagsContainer

Read More
Lytx Driver ID

3 years

UX Design Lead

Timex Ironman ONE GPS+

A full 0-to-1 product experience for athletes who wanted to track workouts, stay connected, and leave their phones behind.

tagsContainer

Read More
Timex Ironman ONE GPS+

1.5 years

UX Design & Product Management

Tagg the Pet Tracker

Redesign of a pet activity monitoring and management of iOS/Android app development as both UX lead and product manager.

tagsContainer

Read More
Tagg the Pet Tracker

1 year

UX Design Lead

FLO TV Personal Television

Designing a new product category from the ground up: live mobile television.

tagsContainer

Read More
FLO TV Personal Television

EXPERTISE

Skills

icon-emoji-search.png

User Research

Interviews, usability tests, ethnographic study, and contextual inquiry

icon-emoji-journey-mapping.png

Journey Mapping

End-to-end experience mapping across touchpoints

icon-emoji-interaction-design.png

Interaction Design

Flows, wireframes, use cases, and high-fidelity mockups

icon-storytelling.png

Storytelling

Communicating design decisions to executives, stakeholders, and cross-functional teams

icon-emoji-systems-thinking.png

Systems Thinking

Mapping connected flows and designing for scalability across product surfaces

icon-emoji-prototyping.png

Prototyping

Interactive prototypes from low-fi click-throughs to high-fidelity AI coding

icon-emoji-ai-fluency.png

AI Fluency

Designing AI-powered experiences and leveraging AI tools in the design process

icon-emoji-stakeholder-mgmt.png

Stakeholder Management

Cross-functional collaboration and design advocacy

Tools

Pendo_logo.png

Pendo

In-app guidance, feature tracking, and user surveys to inform design decisions

dovetail_logo.webp

Dovetail

Centralized research insights, tagged findings, and shared customer intelligence repository

Figma_logo_transparent.webp

Figma

Components, variants, auto-layout, and prototyping

claude-color.png

Claude (Design & Code)

AI-assisted research synthesis, design critique, content generation, and prototyping

amplitude_logo.png

Amplitude

Product funnels, retention curves, and feature adoption to identify usage and priorities

gong_logo.png

Gong

Customer interview repository for surfacing pain points, testing designs, and grounding decisions

sketch-icon.webp

Sketch

Vector-based UI design for components, wireframes, and high-fidelity screens

rpicon.png

Axure RP

High-fidelity interactive prototyping with conditional logic and complex flows

cursor_logo.png

Cursor

AI-assisted coding for rapid prototyping and exploring technical feasibility

BACKGROUND

Experience & Education

Senior Product Designer

Lytx · San Diego, CA 

Researched and designed user experience for video safety and AI products, and developed an AI-native design process for the UX team. 

tagsContainer

2019 - Present

Sr. Staff UX Designer & Sr. Product Manager

Qualcomm · San Diego, CA 

Led 0-to-1 UX and product development for large-scale product start-ups while managing 3rd-party design teams.

tagsContainer

2007 - 2018

UI Designer

Nokia · San Diego, CA 

Designed new phone features while serving as the only North American member of Nokia's global design management team.

tagsContainer

2003 - 2007

B.S. Symbolic Systems

Completed interdisciplinary study of computer science, linguistics, philosophy, and psychology with a concentration in human-computer interaction.

tagsContainer

1998 - 2002

My Résumé

A full overview of my experience, skills, and education — ready to share.

NAME

Daniel Rivas

CURRENT ROLE

Senior Product Designer

LOCATION

San Diego, CA

EXPERIENCE

22 years

BLOG

Experiments & Musings

Like

✦     Human · Machine · Intelligence          Systems before screens          Strategy & execution          Trustworthy by design     ✦ 

Design Philosophy

06

ABOUT ME

42944735170_124e75130e_z.jpg

I bring order to complexity; I've spent over two decades building the tools to do it well.

My path started at Stanford, where a degree in Symbolic Systems gave me something most designers don't have: a foundation that spans both sides of the human-computer divide. From the technical rigor of computer science and formal logic, to the human depth of cognitive psychology and knowledge representation, I learned to hold both perspectives at once and to design from the intersection.

That training became practice at Nokia, Qualcomm, and now Lytx, companies where the problems are large, the systems are complex, and the stakes are real. I've learned that the most important design decisions rarely live on a single screen. They live in the architecture, the mental models, the moments where a user either trusts the product or doesn't.

What drives me today is the challenge of making emerging technology feel human and trustworthy. AI systems can process the world faster than any person, but they still need to communicate their reasoning, surface the right information at the right moment, and earn the confidence of the people who depend on them. That translation problem, from machine intelligence to human understanding, is exactly the kind of complexity I've been working on.

The surface

The Model

Every interface is a surface on top of a system.

The screen is the visible tip. The decisions that make a product trustworthy live underneath it — in the flows, the mental models, the constraints. That's where I start.

Screen / Interface

What the user sees

User mental models & needs

01

Interaction & info architecture

02

Data flows & system states

03

Organizational constraints

04

↓ Where the design decisions live

A

Systems before screens

Every interface is a surface on top of a system. Understanding the data flows, mental models, and organizational constraints is what separates design that scales from design that just looks good in a mockup.

B

Strategy and execution

I connect design decisions to business outcomes — being in the room when strategy is set, moving between the 30,000-foot view and the pixel-level detail without losing either.

C

Trustworthy by design

The best technology earns trust before it demands it. Whether a safety-critical AI product or a fitness-watch home screen, I start with: what does this person need to feel confident taking action?

Education

B.S. Symbolic Systems

Stanford University • Concentration in HCI

Based In

San Diego, CA

Available for remote

Currently

Senior Product Designer

Lytx, Inc.

Open To

Principal / Lead / Senior roles

San Diego or remote

07

Contact

Have a project in mind?

I'm open to new full-time opportunities, collaborations, and interesting conversations.

Linkedin

CONTACT DETAILS

Have a project
in mind?

I'm open to new full-time opportunities, collaborations, and interesting conversations.

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Daniel Rivas · UX Strategy & Product Design

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