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UX / PRODUCT DESIGN

Research. Strategy. Systems Design. AI.

I design products that help people understand and trust systems they can't fully see — from machine vision overlays to GPS-connected hardware. That's been my work for over two decades. AI just made it more interesting. (See how I'm integrating AI into my design process.)

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Machine Vision

geneva-one.jpg
nostradamus-convergence.png

Wearable

AI • AGEnts

22

YEARS EXPERIENCE

3

TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES

Multiple

PATENTS FILED/GRANTED

01

Selected Work

Case Studies

Global Trend Engine

Designer & Builder

Self-Initiated

1 week

An agentic AI dashboard where eight named agents scan the web for frontier signals and synthesize a predictive convergence insight — designed, built, and deployed with Claude.

AI Product DesignAgentic SystemsData VisualizationFuturologyPrompt Engineering

Lytx Video Overlay

Senior UX Designer

Lytx

4 months

A dynamic video overlay that simplifies customer coaching conversations, improving user trust, and reducing contention rate to near zero.

Machine VisionUser ResearchVisual Design

Lytx Driver ID

Senior UX Designer

Lytx

3 months

A systematic user flow for assignment, distribution, and usage of QR codes to assign drivers to vehicles.

System DesignUser ResearchQA TestingHardware Prototyping

Timex Ironman ONE GPS+

UX Design Lead

Qualcomm / Timex

3 years

A full 0-to-1 product experience for athletes who wanted to track workouts, stay connected, and leave their phones behind.

FitnessWearablesPatentHardware UX

Tagg the Pet Tracker

UX Design & Product Management

Qualcomm

1.5 years

Redesign of a pet activity monitoring and management of iOS/Android app development as both UX lead and product manager.

Mobile DesigniOSAndroidSystem DesignProduct Management

FLO TV Personal Television

UX Design Lead

Qualcomm / FLO TV

1 year

Designing a new product category from the ground up: live mobile television.

Ethnographic ResearchUsability TestingUX DesignSystem DesignDesign Team Management

02

Expertise

Skills

User Research

Interviews, usability tests, ethnographic study, and contextual inquiry

Journey Mapping

End-to-end experience mapping across touchpoints

Interaction Design

Flows, wireframes, use cases, and high-fidelity mockups

Storytelling

Communicating design decisions to executives and cross-functional teams

Systems Thinking

Mapping connected flows and designing for scalability across surfaces

Prototyping

From low-fi click-throughs to high-fidelity AI coding

AI Fluency

Designing AI-powered experiences and using AI tools in the design process

Stakeholder Management

Cross-functional collaboration and design advocacy

Tools

Claude (Design/Code)

Research synthesis, design, prototyping, and documentation

Figma

Components, variants, auto-layout, and prototyping

Sketch

Vector UI design for components and high-fidelity screens

Axure RP

High-fidelity prototyping with conditional logic

Pendo

In-app guidance, feature tracking, and user surveys

Amplitude

Funnels, retention, and feature-adoption analysis

Dovetail

Centralized research insights and customer intelligence

Atlassian (Confluence/Jira)

Confluence for design documentation; Jira for planning and cross-functional tracking

03

Background

Experience & Education

2019 - Present

Senior Product Designer

Lytx • San Diego, CA

Research and design of user experience for video-safety and AI products, and development of an AI-native design process for the Product/UX team.

Design SystemsDesign LeadershipMachine Vision AIGenerative AI

2007 - 2018

Sr. Staff UX Designer & Sr. Product Manager

Qualcomm • San Diego, CA

Led 0-to-1 UX and product development for large-scale product start-ups while managing 3rd-party design teams.

Usability TestingPrototypingMobile DesignPatents

2003 - 2007

UI Designer

Nokia • San Diego, CA

Designed new phone features while serving as the only North American member of Nokia's global design-management team.

User TestingWireframingComponent DesignTechnical Writing

1998 - 2002

B.S. Symbolic Systems

Stanford University • Stanford, CA

Interdisciplinary study of computer science, linguistics, philosophy, and psychology with a concentration in human-computer interaction.

HCIComputer ProgrammingNLPCognitive Science

My Résumé

Name

Daniel Rivas

current role

Senior Product Designer

Location

San Diego, CA

04

Blog

Experiments & Musings

Daily Futurology Report

July 28, 2026 at 7:11:03 AM

Model:

Opus 5

Forecast:

2026–2029

Opus 5 halved the price of near-flagship intelligence on July 24 and Kimi's 2.8-trillion weights went open July 27 — days before the EU AI Act's enforcement powers bite August 2 and while China's rare-earth licensing sits paused-not-removed; through 2029 the binding constraints stay fabs, minerals, grids and permission, not intelligence, which just got cheap from both ends at once

Here's the bet, and this week said it louder than usual. Through 2029 the thing gating the frontier isn't how smart the model is. That got cheap — and this week it got cheap twice, once when Opus 5 halved the price of near-flagship intelligence and again when Kimi's 2.8-trillion weights went free. What gates the future is the four heavy things around the model: the fabs that print the chips, the minerals that feed the fabs, the grid that powers all of it, and the permission to run the best versions at all.


The evidence cuts both ways, which is the honest part. The heavy layer answered this week — TSMC's $100 billion, batteries covering a third of a grid, solar beating coal for a month, Helion selling Microsoft real megawatts. That's the substrate moving faster than the thesis usually gives it credit for. But the permission layer landed right on top: enforcement powers go live August 2, days after the open weights dropped, and China's rare-earth licensing is paused, not gone. The build speeds up and the leash tightens in the same news cycle.


I'd watch for the point where those two lines cross. A capex cut blamed on a substation instead of a chip. A regulator who can't actually pull a model because a hundred thousand people already have the file. AISI just clocked the open tier four to seven months behind the frontier at a fraction of the cost — you can pull a product from a market, but you can't really recall a download. I'd expect the file to keep winning the arguments the gate-builders wish it wouldn't.


Worth holding this loosely, though. Physical gates do open — the onshoring, the battery records, fusion getting both a ticker and a customer, Starship finally reaching space with cargo after years of blowing up. The slow side has more give than the frame admits. And the frame explains less than it wants to: biology spent the week editing one infant's genes to spec, and the ocean set a record nobody approved. The seam is real. It's just not the whole map.

Cross-Domain Synthesis

The running bet here is simple: intelligence is the cheap input now, and the heavy stuff wrapped around it — fabs, minerals, grids, permission — is what actually gates the next thing. Most weeks the smart side sprints and the heavy side just sits there. This week the smart side made about the loudest case it's made, and it made it from both directions at once.


Opus 5 landed on the 24th at near-Fable-5 quality for half what that quality cost a month before. Three days later Kimi K3's 2.8-trillion-parameter weights went open — third on the index, free to download — and Grok 4.5 had already slotted in fourth. Best closed model got cheaper, best open one went free, same stretch of days. AISI even put a number on the leak: open models now trail the closed cyber frontier by four to seven months, and a run that costs $85 on Opus runs $1.19 on the open tier. Cheap from the top, cheap from the bottom.


The heavy layer didn't just sit there either. TSMC threw another $100 billion at Arizona and had Nvidia wire AI into the fab itself. California's batteries covered better than a third of the grid one July evening, US storage crossed 100 gigawatt-hours installed for the first time, and solar out-generated coal for a full month. Helion still has Microsoft on the hook for 50 real fusion megawatts by 2028. The slow side moved.


But permission stayed sticky, and it's about to get stickier on a clock. The EU AI Act's enforcement powers switch on August 2 — days after the open weights dropped — so the week you can download the most capable weights is roughly the week they can fine you 3% of revenue for running them wrong. And China paused its rare-earth controls to November 10 while leaving the licensing machinery in place, safety off. You can fence a product. A file is harder.


Two things kept compounding on nobody's calendar. A bespoke CRISPR fix got built and delivered for a single infant in about six months; the ocean set its warmest June on record without filing paperwork. The seam is real. It's just that the slow side has more give than it looks — and the ocean part isn't the good kind.

05

Horizon: Predictive convergence

Futurology Report — Daily

July 28, 2026 at 7:11:03 AM

AI Model:

Opus 5

Forecast:

2026–2029

Opus 5 halved the price of near-flagship intelligence on July 24 and Kimi's 2.8-trillion weights went open July 27 — days before the EU AI Act's enforcement powers bite August 2 and while China's rare-earth licensing sits paused-not-removed; through 2029 the binding constraints stay fabs, minerals, grids and permission, not intelligence, which just got cheap from both ends at once

Here's the bet, and this week said it louder than usual. Through 2029 the thing gating the frontier isn't how smart the model is. That got cheap — and this week it got cheap twice, once when Opus 5 halved the price of near-flagship intelligence and again when Kimi's 2.8-trillion weights went free. What gates the future is the four heavy things around the model: the fabs that print the chips, the minerals that feed the fabs, the grid that powers all of it, and the permission to run the best versions at all.


The evidence cuts both ways, which is the honest part. The heavy layer answered this week — TSMC's $100 billion, batteries covering a third of a grid, solar beating coal for a month, Helion selling Microsoft real megawatts. That's the substrate moving faster than the thesis usually gives it credit for. But the permission layer landed right on top: enforcement powers go live August 2, days after the open weights dropped, and China's rare-earth licensing is paused, not gone. The build speeds up and the leash tightens in the same news cycle.


I'd watch for the point where those two lines cross. A capex cut blamed on a substation instead of a chip. A regulator who can't actually pull a model because a hundred thousand people already have the file. AISI just clocked the open tier four to seven months behind the frontier at a fraction of the cost — you can pull a product from a market, but you can't really recall a download. I'd expect the file to keep winning the arguments the gate-builders wish it wouldn't.


Worth holding this loosely, though. Physical gates do open — the onshoring, the battery records, fusion getting both a ticker and a customer, Starship finally reaching space with cargo after years of blowing up. The slow side has more give than the frame admits. And the frame explains less than it wants to: biology spent the week editing one infant's genes to spec, and the ocean set a record nobody approved. The seam is real. It's just not the whole map.

Signal Intensity

A domain-level score (0-100) representing the volume and momentum of frontier activity detected across the signals in that domain.

AI

96

%

Climate

84

%

BIOTECH

60

%

GEOPOLITICS

75

%

ENERGY

94

%

SOCIETY

74

%

SPACE

78

%

Cross-Domain Synthesis

The running bet here is simple: intelligence is the cheap input now, and the heavy stuff wrapped around it — fabs, minerals, grids, permission — is what actually gates the next thing. Most weeks the smart side sprints and the heavy side just sits there. This week the smart side made about the loudest case it's made, and it made it from both directions at once.


Opus 5 landed on the 24th at near-Fable-5 quality for half what that quality cost a month before. Three days later Kimi K3's 2.8-trillion-parameter weights went open — third on the index, free to download — and Grok 4.5 had already slotted in fourth. Best closed model got cheaper, best open one went free, same stretch of days. AISI even put a number on the leak: open models now trail the closed cyber frontier by four to seven months, and a run that costs $85 on Opus runs $1.19 on the open tier. Cheap from the top, cheap from the bottom.


The heavy layer didn't just sit there either. TSMC threw another $100 billion at Arizona and had Nvidia wire AI into the fab itself. California's batteries covered better than a third of the grid one July evening, US storage crossed 100 gigawatt-hours installed for the first time, and solar out-generated coal for a full month. Helion still has Microsoft on the hook for 50 real fusion megawatts by 2028. The slow side moved.


But permission stayed sticky, and it's about to get stickier on a clock. The EU AI Act's enforcement powers switch on August 2 — days after the open weights dropped — so the week you can download the most capable weights is roughly the week they can fine you 3% of revenue for running them wrong. And China paused its rare-earth controls to November 10 while leaving the licensing machinery in place, safety off. You can fence a product. A file is harder.


Two things kept compounding on nobody's calendar. A bespoke CRISPR fix got built and delivered for a single infant in about six months; the ocean set its warmest June on record without filing paperwork. The seam is real. It's just that the slow side has more give than it looks — and the ocean part isn't the good kind.

AI

Kimi K3's 2.8-trillion-parameter weights go open July 27 — third on the intelligence index at a fraction of frontier cost

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AI

Anthropic launches Claude Opus 5 on July 24 — near-Fable-5 intelligence at half the price of a month ago

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AI

AISI and CAISI find open-weight models now trail the cyber frontier by just 4–7 months — and at a fraction of the cost

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AI

The EU AI Act's enforcement powers switch on August 2 — days after Kimi's weights go free

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AI

xAI's Grok 4.5 lands fourth on the intelligence index July 8 — ahead of every open-weight model at launch

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Energy

TSMC adds another $100B to Arizona, taking its US bet to $265B as Nvidia wires AI into the fab

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Energy

California's battery fleet hits 12.99 GW and solar 23 GW in one July stretch — covering the hardest hours of the grid

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Energy

US grid battery storage crosses 100 GWh installed for the first time as solar out-generates coal

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Geopolitics

China's rare-earth truce runs to November 10 but leaves the sub-14nm licensing machinery loaded

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Climate

Oceans hit their warmest June on record — 20.86°C on June 21 — as El Niño builds

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Climate

Europe's deadly early heat wave hits 44°C with an estimated 1,000 excess deaths

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Biotech

A bespoke in-vivo CRISPR therapy is built for one infant in six months as a smaller, AAV-sized editor emerges

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Society

2026 tech layoffs near 170,500 with roughly 54% of events now citing AI — Oracle's 30,000 the largest cut

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Space

Starship Flight 13 flies July 24: 20 Starlink V3s deployed, in-space relight, dual splashdown — as fusion signs real customers

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ABOUT ME

Design Philosophy

I bring order to complexity; I've spent over two decades building the tools to do it well.

My path started at Stanford, where a degree in Symbolic Systems gave me something most designers don't have: a foundation that spans both sides of the human-computer divide. From the technical rigor of computer science and formal logic, to the human depth of cognitive psychology and knowledge representation, I learned to hold both perspectives at once and to design from the intersection.

That training became practice at Nokia, Qualcomm, and now Lytx, companies where the problems are large, the systems are complex, and the stakes are real. I've learned that the most important design decisions rarely live on a single screen. They live in the architecture, the mental models, the moments where a user either trusts the product or doesn't.

What drives me today is the challenge of making emerging technology feel human and trustworthy. AI systems can process the world faster than any person, but they still need to communicate their reasoning, surface the right information at the right moment, and earn the confidence of the people who depend on them. That translation problem, from machine intelligence to human understanding, is exactly the kind of complexity I've been working on.

42944735170_124e75130e_z.jpg
icon-systems-before-screens.png

Systems before screens

Every interface is a surface on top of a system. Understanding the system (the data flows, the user mental models, the organizational constraints) is what separates design that scales from design that just looks good in a mockup.

icon-emoji-strategy.png

Strategy and execution, not one or the other

I connect design decisions to business outcomes. That means being in the room when strategy is set, not just when wireframes need approval. It means being able to move between the 30,000-foot view and the pixel-level detail without losing either.

icon-emoji-stakeholder-mgmt.png

Trustworthy by design

The best technology earns trust before it demands it. Whether I'm designing a safety-critical AI product or the home screen on a fitness watch, I start with the question: what does this person need to feel confident taking action?

EDUCATION

B.S. Symbolic Systems

Stanford University

Concentration in HCI

BASED IN

San Diego, CA

CURRENTLY

Senior Product Designer

Lytx

OPEN TO OPPORTUNITIES

Principal/Senior-Level Product Design Roles

In San Diego or Remote

SELECTED WORK

Case Studies

1 week

Designer & Builder

Global Trend Engine

An agentic AI dashboard where eight named agents scan the web for frontier signals and synthesize a predictive convergence insight — designed, built, and deployed with Claude.

tagsContainer

Read More
Global Trend Engine

4 months

Senior UX Designer

Lytx Video Overlay

A dynamic video overlay that simplifies customer coaching conversations, improving user trust, and reducing contention rate to near zero.

tagsContainer

Read More
Lytx Video Overlay

3 months

Senior UX Designer

Lytx Driver ID

A systematic user flow for assignment, distribution, and usage of QR codes to assign drivers to vehicles.

tagsContainer

Read More
Lytx Driver ID

3 years

UX Design Lead

Timex Ironman ONE GPS+

A full 0-to-1 product experience for athletes who wanted to track workouts, stay connected, and leave their phones behind.

tagsContainer

Read More
Timex Ironman ONE GPS+

1.5 years

UX Design & Product Management

Tagg the Pet Tracker

Redesign of a pet activity monitoring and management of iOS/Android app development as both UX lead and product manager.

tagsContainer

Read More
Tagg the Pet Tracker

1 year

UX Design Lead

FLO TV Personal Television

Designing a new product category from the ground up: live mobile television.

tagsContainer

Read More
FLO TV Personal Television

EXPERTISE

Skills

icon-emoji-search.png

User Research

Interviews, usability tests, ethnographic study, and contextual inquiry

icon-emoji-journey-mapping.png

Journey Mapping

End-to-end experience mapping across touchpoints

icon-emoji-interaction-design.png

Interaction Design

Flows, wireframes, use cases, and high-fidelity mockups

icon-storytelling.png

Storytelling

Communicating design decisions to executives, stakeholders, and cross-functional teams

icon-emoji-systems-thinking.png

Systems Thinking

Mapping connected flows and designing for scalability across product surfaces

icon-emoji-prototyping.png

Prototyping

Interactive prototypes from low-fi click-throughs to high-fidelity AI coding

icon-emoji-ai-fluency.png

AI Fluency

Designing AI-powered experiences and leveraging AI tools in the design process

icon-emoji-stakeholder-mgmt.png

Stakeholder Management

Cross-functional collaboration and design advocacy

Tools

Pendo_logo.png

Pendo

In-app guidance, feature tracking, and user surveys to inform design decisions

dovetail_logo.webp

Dovetail

Centralized research insights, tagged findings, and shared customer intelligence repository

Figma_logo_transparent.webp

Figma

Components, variants, auto-layout, and prototyping

claude-color.png

Claude (Design & Code)

AI-assisted research synthesis, design critique, content generation, and prototyping

amplitude_logo.png

Amplitude

Product funnels, retention curves, and feature adoption to identify usage and priorities

gong_logo.png

Gong

Customer interview repository for surfacing pain points, testing designs, and grounding decisions

sketch-icon.webp

Sketch

Vector-based UI design for components, wireframes, and high-fidelity screens

rpicon.png

Axure RP

High-fidelity interactive prototyping with conditional logic and complex flows

cursor_logo.png

Cursor

AI-assisted coding for rapid prototyping and exploring technical feasibility

BACKGROUND

Experience & Education

Senior Product Designer

Lytx · San Diego, CA 

Researched and designed user experience for video safety and AI products, and developed an AI-native design process for the UX team. 

tagsContainer

2019 - Present

Sr. Staff UX Designer & Sr. Product Manager

Qualcomm · San Diego, CA 

Led 0-to-1 UX and product development for large-scale product start-ups while managing 3rd-party design teams.

tagsContainer

2007 - 2018

UI Designer

Nokia · San Diego, CA 

Designed new phone features while serving as the only North American member of Nokia's global design management team.

tagsContainer

2003 - 2007

B.S. Symbolic Systems

Completed interdisciplinary study of computer science, linguistics, philosophy, and psychology with a concentration in human-computer interaction.

tagsContainer

1998 - 2002

My Résumé

A full overview of my experience, skills, and education — ready to share.

NAME

Daniel Rivas

CURRENT ROLE

Senior Product Designer

LOCATION

San Diego, CA

EXPERIENCE

22 years

BLOG

Experiments & Musings

Like

✦     Human · Machine · Intelligence          Systems before screens          Strategy & execution          Trustworthy by design     ✦ 

Design Philosophy

06

ABOUT ME

42944735170_124e75130e_z.jpg

I bring order to complexity; I've spent over two decades building the tools to do it well.

My path started at Stanford, where a degree in Symbolic Systems gave me something most designers don't have: a foundation that spans both sides of the human-computer divide. From the technical rigor of computer science and formal logic, to the human depth of cognitive psychology and knowledge representation, I learned to hold both perspectives at once and to design from the intersection.

That training became practice at Nokia, Qualcomm, and now Lytx, companies where the problems are large, the systems are complex, and the stakes are real. I've learned that the most important design decisions rarely live on a single screen. They live in the architecture, the mental models, the moments where a user either trusts the product or doesn't.

What drives me today is the challenge of making emerging technology feel human and trustworthy. AI systems can process the world faster than any person, but they still need to communicate their reasoning, surface the right information at the right moment, and earn the confidence of the people who depend on them. That translation problem, from machine intelligence to human understanding, is exactly the kind of complexity I've been working on.

The surface

The Model

Every interface is a surface on top of a system.

The screen is the visible tip. The decisions that make a product trustworthy live underneath it — in the flows, the mental models, the constraints. That's where I start.

Screen / Interface

What the user sees

User mental models & needs

01

Interaction & info architecture

02

Data flows & system states

03

Organizational constraints

04

↓ Where the design decisions live

A

Systems before screens

Every interface is a surface on top of a system. Understanding the data flows, mental models, and organizational constraints is what separates design that scales from design that just looks good in a mockup.

B

Strategy and execution

I connect design decisions to business outcomes — being in the room when strategy is set, moving between the 30,000-foot view and the pixel-level detail without losing either.

C

Trustworthy by design

The best technology earns trust before it demands it. Whether a safety-critical AI product or a fitness-watch home screen, I start with: what does this person need to feel confident taking action?

Education

B.S. Symbolic Systems

Stanford University • Concentration in HCI

Based In

San Diego, CA

Available for remote

Currently

Senior Product Designer

Lytx, Inc.

Open To

Principal / Lead / Senior roles

San Diego or remote

07

Contact

Have a project in mind?

I'm open to new full-time opportunities, collaborations, and interesting conversations.

Linkedin

CONTACT DETAILS

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in mind?

I'm open to new full-time opportunities, collaborations, and interesting conversations.

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Daniel Rivas · UX Strategy & Product Design

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