UX STRATEGY • PRODUCT DESIGN
Research. Strategy. Systems Design. AI.
I design products that help people understand and trust systems they can't fully see — from machine vision overlays to GPS-connected hardware. That's been my work for over two decades. AI just made it more interesting. (See how I'm integrating AI into my design process.)
22
YEARS EXPERIENCE
3
TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES
Multiple
PATENTS FILED/GRANTED
01
Selected Work
Case Studies
Global Trend Engine
Designer & Builder
•
Self-Initiated
•
1 week
→
An agentic AI dashboard where three agents — a multi-persona scanner, Nostradamus, and Tarot — scan the web for frontier signals, synthesize patterns, and generate predictive convergence insights — designed, built, and deployed with Claude.
02
Expertise
Skills
User Research
Interviews, usability tests, ethnographic study, and contextual inquiry
Journey Mapping
End-to-end experience mapping across touchpoints
Interaction Design
Flows, wireframes, use cases, and high-fidelity mockups
Storytelling
Communicating design decisions to executives and cross-functional teams
Systems Thinking
Mapping connected flows and designing for scalability across surfaces
Prototyping
From low-fi click-throughs to high-fidelity AI coding
AI Fluency
Designing AI-powered experiences and using AI tools in the design process
Stakeholder Management
Cross-functional collaboration and design advocacy
Tools
Claude (Design/Code)
Research synthesis, design, prototyping, and documentation
Figma
Components, variants, auto-layout, and prototyping
Sketch
Vector UI design for components and high-fidelity screens
Axure RP
High-fidelity prototyping with conditional logic
Pendo
In-app guidance, feature tracking, and user surveys
Amplitude
Funnels, retention, and feature-adoption analysis
Dovetail
Centralized research insights and customer intelligence
Atlassian (Confluence/Jira)
Confluence for design documentation; Jira for planning and cross-functional tracking
03
Background
Experience & Education
2019 - Present
Senior Product Designer
Lytx • San Diego, CA
Research and design of user experience for video-safety and AI products, and development of an AI-native design process for the Product/UX team.
2007 - 2018
Sr. Staff UX Designer & Sr. Product Manager
Qualcomm • San Diego, CA
Led 0-to-1 UX and product development for large-scale product start-ups while managing 3rd-party design teams.
2003 - 2007
UI Designer
Nokia • San Diego, CA
Designed new phone features while serving as the only North American member of Nokia's global design-management team.
1998 - 2002
B.S. Symbolic Systems
Stanford University • Stanford, CA
Interdisciplinary study of computer science, linguistics, philosophy, and psychology with a concentration in human-computer interaction.
My Résumé
Name
Daniel Rivas
current role
Senior Product Designer
Location
San Diego, CA
Availability
Daily Futurology Report
August 15, 2026 at 7:20:14 AM
Model:
Opus 4.8
Forecast:
2026-2030
The week the alarm went official without slowing the supply: security researchers reclassified autonomous AI attacks on critical infrastructure as a 'clear and present danger' - the week after the Taiwan intrusion - even as Z.ai shipped GLM-5.3, another downloadable near-frontier coder, a day later. Through 2030 the governable object isn't a model release; it's a race between how fast frontier-grade capability becomes a free download and how slowly the power, minerals and fabs it needs actually get built.
Here's the bet. Through 2030 the AI story is a race between two clocks: how fast frontier-grade capability becomes a free download, and how slowly the physical layer it needs - power, minerals, fabs - actually gets built. The software clock is fast and speeding up. The physical one barely ticks.
This week ran both clocks in front of you. Researchers upgraded autonomous attacks to a "clear and present danger," and a day later Z.ai shipped GLM-5.3, the newest near-frontier open coder, download and go. Set that against the other side of the ledger: operators will build maybe 28% of the power data centers are asking for, China still gates the minerals every advanced fab needs, and fusion - the thing that's supposed to fix the power problem - logged a real milestone and still can't show net gain. Loud alarm, cheap capability, stubborn concrete.
I'd watch for the moment the two clocks touch. The day a genuinely frontier open-weight agent lands on some mirror and someone points it at infrastructure they already have the power and minerals to exploit - that's when the "danger" language stops being a forecast and starts being a date. My guess is the back half of the decade, and this week nudged it earlier, not later.
Worth holding loosely, though, and not as a hedge. The physical brake is real and it's stubborn. A near-frontier model doesn't run in a spare bedroom, the Taiwan agents got caught partly because autonomous still isn't the same as good, and most of what actually mattered this week ignored the whole fight - Intellia editing genes inside people, Starship stacking for orbit, the ocean headed for its hottest year in a century and a half no matter whose benchmark says what. "The alarm went official" is the right thing to watch. It still isn't the same as "the disaster arrived."
Cross-Domain Synthesis
Last week the autonomous-attack story was an incident. Eight agents, four days, Taiwan's government. This week it became a category. Security researchers stopped calling it a case study and started calling it a "clear and present danger" to critical infrastructure. The discourse caught up to the thing that happened.
And while the alarm was hardening, the supply didn't blink. Z.ai shipped GLM-5.3 on the 14th, another near-frontier coding model aimed straight at Anthropic and OpenAI, downloadable and cheap. That's the loop that keeps running: the warning gets louder and the capability you'd want to warn people about ships anyway, on a mirror, the next morning. Turns out you can raise the alarm and lower the price in the same week.
Everything else kept its own clock. China paused only its October rare-earth tranche, to November 10, and left the April controls and the new samarium-gadolinium-lutetium licensing fully in place while it refines about 91% of the world's supply. Intellia's in-body CRISPR cut hereditary-angioedema attacks 87% in a Phase 3, and a bespoke edit was built for an infant in six months. Layoffs blew past 205,000, more than half blaming AI. Starship is stacking for its first orbital shot, D-Wave logged a clean two-qubit gate.
The Pacific still isn't reading any of it. NOAA's August call puts a 90% chance on the strongest El Nino on record and a 69% chance it beats every event since 1950, with subsurface heat at an extreme +10C, peaking into winter and holding toward the middle of 2027. You can't license that, and you can't license it away. It just shows up.
Here's the counter-current, though. The offense that runs itself and the coder you download both still need machines somebody has to build. Bloomberg's numbers say operators will commit to roughly 28% of the 1,066 gigawatts data centers are asking for. Fusion had a good year on paper - Helion's first D-T fire, $14 billion in - and still can't show net gain, with pilots pushed to 2030 and later. The gate on the weights keeps coming off. The gate on the megawatts hasn't moved.
05
Horizon: Predictive convergence
Futurology Report — Daily
August 15, 2026 at 7:20:14 AM
AI Model:
Opus 4.8
Forecast:
2026-2030
The week the alarm went official without slowing the supply: security researchers reclassified autonomous AI attacks on critical infrastructure as a 'clear and present danger' - the week after the Taiwan intrusion - even as Z.ai shipped GLM-5.3, another downloadable near-frontier coder, a day later. Through 2030 the governable object isn't a model release; it's a race between how fast frontier-grade capability becomes a free download and how slowly the power, minerals and fabs it needs actually get built.
Here's the bet. Through 2030 the AI story is a race between two clocks: how fast frontier-grade capability becomes a free download, and how slowly the physical layer it needs - power, minerals, fabs - actually gets built. The software clock is fast and speeding up. The physical one barely ticks.
This week ran both clocks in front of you. Researchers upgraded autonomous attacks to a "clear and present danger," and a day later Z.ai shipped GLM-5.3, the newest near-frontier open coder, download and go. Set that against the other side of the ledger: operators will build maybe 28% of the power data centers are asking for, China still gates the minerals every advanced fab needs, and fusion - the thing that's supposed to fix the power problem - logged a real milestone and still can't show net gain. Loud alarm, cheap capability, stubborn concrete.
I'd watch for the moment the two clocks touch. The day a genuinely frontier open-weight agent lands on some mirror and someone points it at infrastructure they already have the power and minerals to exploit - that's when the "danger" language stops being a forecast and starts being a date. My guess is the back half of the decade, and this week nudged it earlier, not later.
Worth holding loosely, though, and not as a hedge. The physical brake is real and it's stubborn. A near-frontier model doesn't run in a spare bedroom, the Taiwan agents got caught partly because autonomous still isn't the same as good, and most of what actually mattered this week ignored the whole fight - Intellia editing genes inside people, Starship stacking for orbit, the ocean headed for its hottest year in a century and a half no matter whose benchmark says what. "The alarm went official" is the right thing to watch. It still isn't the same as "the disaster arrived."
Signal Intensity
A domain-level score (0-100) representing the volume and momentum of frontier activity detected across the signals in that domain.
AI
99
%
Climate
91
%
BIOTECH
70
%
GEOPOLITICS
82
%
ENERGY
85
%
SOCIETY
74
%
SPACE
76
%
Cross-Domain Synthesis
Last week the autonomous-attack story was an incident. Eight agents, four days, Taiwan's government. This week it became a category. Security researchers stopped calling it a case study and started calling it a "clear and present danger" to critical infrastructure. The discourse caught up to the thing that happened.
And while the alarm was hardening, the supply didn't blink. Z.ai shipped GLM-5.3 on the 14th, another near-frontier coding model aimed straight at Anthropic and OpenAI, downloadable and cheap. That's the loop that keeps running: the warning gets louder and the capability you'd want to warn people about ships anyway, on a mirror, the next morning. Turns out you can raise the alarm and lower the price in the same week.
Everything else kept its own clock. China paused only its October rare-earth tranche, to November 10, and left the April controls and the new samarium-gadolinium-lutetium licensing fully in place while it refines about 91% of the world's supply. Intellia's in-body CRISPR cut hereditary-angioedema attacks 87% in a Phase 3, and a bespoke edit was built for an infant in six months. Layoffs blew past 205,000, more than half blaming AI. Starship is stacking for its first orbital shot, D-Wave logged a clean two-qubit gate.
The Pacific still isn't reading any of it. NOAA's August call puts a 90% chance on the strongest El Nino on record and a 69% chance it beats every event since 1950, with subsurface heat at an extreme +10C, peaking into winter and holding toward the middle of 2027. You can't license that, and you can't license it away. It just shows up.
Here's the counter-current, though. The offense that runs itself and the coder you download both still need machines somebody has to build. Bloomberg's numbers say operators will commit to roughly 28% of the 1,066 gigawatts data centers are asking for. Fusion had a good year on paper - Helion's first D-T fire, $14 billion in - and still can't show net gain, with pilots pushed to 2030 and later. The gate on the weights keeps coming off. The gate on the megawatts hasn't moved.














