UX STRATEGY • PRODUCT DESIGN
Research. Strategy. Systems Design. AI.
I design products that help people understand and trust systems they can't fully see — from machine vision overlays to GPS-connected hardware. That's been my work for over two decades. AI just made it more interesting. (See how I'm integrating AI into my design process.)
22
YEARS EXPERIENCE
3
TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES
Multiple
PATENTS FILED/GRANTED
01
Selected Work
Case Studies
Global Trend Engine
Designer & Builder
•
Self-Initiated
•
1 week
→
An agentic AI dashboard where three agents — a multi-persona scanner, Nostradamus, and Tarot — scan the web for frontier signals, synthesize patterns, and generate predictive convergence insights — designed, built, and deployed with Claude.
02
Expertise
Skills
User Research
Interviews, usability tests, ethnographic study, and contextual inquiry
Journey Mapping
End-to-end experience mapping across touchpoints
Interaction Design
Flows, wireframes, use cases, and high-fidelity mockups
Storytelling
Communicating design decisions to executives and cross-functional teams
Systems Thinking
Mapping connected flows and designing for scalability across surfaces
Prototyping
From low-fi click-throughs to high-fidelity AI coding
AI Fluency
Designing AI-powered experiences and using AI tools in the design process
Stakeholder Management
Cross-functional collaboration and design advocacy
Tools
Claude (Design/Code)
Research synthesis, design, prototyping, and documentation
Figma
Components, variants, auto-layout, and prototyping
Sketch
Vector UI design for components and high-fidelity screens
Axure RP
High-fidelity prototyping with conditional logic
Pendo
In-app guidance, feature tracking, and user surveys
Amplitude
Funnels, retention, and feature-adoption analysis
Dovetail
Centralized research insights and customer intelligence
Atlassian (Confluence/Jira)
Confluence for design documentation; Jira for planning and cross-functional tracking
03
Background
Experience & Education
2019 - Present
Senior Product Designer
Lytx • San Diego, CA
Research and design of user experience for video-safety and AI products, and development of an AI-native design process for the Product/UX team.
2007 - 2018
Sr. Staff UX Designer & Sr. Product Manager
Qualcomm • San Diego, CA
Led 0-to-1 UX and product development for large-scale product start-ups while managing 3rd-party design teams.
2003 - 2007
UI Designer
Nokia • San Diego, CA
Designed new phone features while serving as the only North American member of Nokia's global design-management team.
1998 - 2002
B.S. Symbolic Systems
Stanford University • Stanford, CA
Interdisciplinary study of computer science, linguistics, philosophy, and psychology with a concentration in human-computer interaction.
My Résumé
Name
Daniel Rivas
current role
Senior Product Designer
Location
San Diego, CA
Availability
Daily Futurology Report
September 29, 2026 at 12:57:29 AM
Model:
Opus 4.8
Forecast:
2026-2028
Three labs built their own AI referee and can't name a thing it can force; California passed a real chatbot law, the Senate stalled a national one, the rare-earth cliff holds for Nov 10, PJM missed supply for the first time ever, the WMO called this El Nino its most certain forecast on record, and Google's first orbital chips go up Oct 1. Through 2028 the binding question isn't whether the models work — it's whether the power, the minerals and the rules switch on fast enough to matter, and who ends up holding each switch.
Here's the bet through 2028: the fight was never whether the models work. It's whether the power, the minerals and the rules switch on fast enough to matter, and who ends up holding each switch. This week made that harder to wave away. The labs stood up their own referee and couldn't name one thing it can force; the people it would govern asked Congress for a real one; California went ahead and passed its own. When you build a self-regulator and lobby for a federal one in the same breath, that's a hedge, not a plan.
The evidence is on the calendar, not in the vibe. SAFA, weeks old and already picked apart. A 417-3 House vote, stalled in the Senate days later. A rare-earth suspension that lapses November 10. PJM missing supply for the first time and scrambling $20 billion for plants by September 30. A WMO El Nino call it says is the most certain it's ever issued, cresting at year's end. Half a dozen clocks, all bunched into one quarter.
I'd watch October into December hardest. That's when the rare-earth cliff either lapses or gets waved off, when El Nino peaks and breaks whatever it breaks, when PJM's auction either lands the megawatts or doesn't, when Google's first chips either survive orbit or don't, and when the midterms turn power bills into votes. A lot settles in one quarter — and given the year, I wouldn't bet the whole board on the calm read.
Worth holding loosely, though. A toothless self-regulator can grow teeth — FINRA did, eventually — and a deadline is a negotiation, not a wall; the rare-earth freeze already slipped once. The likeliest 2028 isn't one clean cliff. It's slippage: everything a little slower, a little more gas-fired, a little more governed-by-the-governed than anyone meant to admit. And the thing I keep circling back to isn't on the countdown at all — this fall an edit inside a living body just kept working, for months, while the rest of us argued about the whistle.
Cross-Domain Synthesis
The seam this week is the same one, pulled a little tighter. Three labs built themselves a referee — SAFA, a FINRA-for-AI they want live by early 2027 — and the more people read the fine print, the less it looks like it can do. No power to block a launch. No power to fine anyone. So the odd thing keeps happening: the companies that stood up the private referee are also asking Washington for a real one. And this week California didn't wait — Newsom signed a law making chatbot makers run risk checks and pay up to $1M per child they harm. The question was never whether anyone regulates this. It's who, and whether they can make it stick.
The thing being regulated keeps outrunning the paperwork. Four labs shipped frontier models in the first week of September, and GPT-6 Astra is posting near-perfect scores on the hard benchmarks. You can't finish a standard for a model that's two versions old by the time you publish it. Meanwhile the physical layers keep dates the software doesn't. China's rare-earth freeze lapses November 10, and the Trump-Xi meeting in Washington on the 24th put the deadline on the table without moving it — analysts still call it relief without resolution. PJM, the biggest grid in the country, couldn't buy enough power for the first time ever, and its fix is a $20 billion scramble for plants, with the auction landing around September 30. The megawatts get built or they don't.
That bill went straight to the kitchen table. The House voted 417 to 3 to make data centers pay for their own grid upgrades, and days later the Senate couldn't fast-track it — one camp wants FERC to actually have jurisdiction, the other wants voluntary state deals. Capacity prices went from $29 a megawatt-day to $329 in two years. Bills are up double digits in Virginia, Illinois and Ohio. Amazon, Microsoft and a line of fusion startups keep signing reactors, but none of that switches on in time to help, so near-term the gap burns gas. Overhead, Google's about to find out whether AI chips survive orbit — Suncatcher goes up October 1. Every one of these has a date, and they're all crammed into the same eight weeks.
The layer that answers to none of it is biology. A gene-edited pig kidney ran 271 days without dialysis and left the patient clean for a human transplant afterward. A delivery tweak just pushed in-body editing to 67% of a mouse liver in a single shot. And the ocean's on its own clock too — the WMO says this El Nino is the most certain forecast it's ever made, very strong, peaking at year's end, while the Arctic just closed out one of its ten lowest-ice years on record. No cliff, no cloture vote. While everyone fights over who holds the whistle, the slow layers keep compounding.
05
Horizon: Predictive convergence
Futurology Report — Daily
September 29, 2026 at 12:57:29 AM
AI Model:
Opus 4.8
Forecast:
2026-2028
Three labs built their own AI referee and can't name a thing it can force; California passed a real chatbot law, the Senate stalled a national one, the rare-earth cliff holds for Nov 10, PJM missed supply for the first time ever, the WMO called this El Nino its most certain forecast on record, and Google's first orbital chips go up Oct 1. Through 2028 the binding question isn't whether the models work — it's whether the power, the minerals and the rules switch on fast enough to matter, and who ends up holding each switch.
Here's the bet through 2028: the fight was never whether the models work. It's whether the power, the minerals and the rules switch on fast enough to matter, and who ends up holding each switch. This week made that harder to wave away. The labs stood up their own referee and couldn't name one thing it can force; the people it would govern asked Congress for a real one; California went ahead and passed its own. When you build a self-regulator and lobby for a federal one in the same breath, that's a hedge, not a plan.
The evidence is on the calendar, not in the vibe. SAFA, weeks old and already picked apart. A 417-3 House vote, stalled in the Senate days later. A rare-earth suspension that lapses November 10. PJM missing supply for the first time and scrambling $20 billion for plants by September 30. A WMO El Nino call it says is the most certain it's ever issued, cresting at year's end. Half a dozen clocks, all bunched into one quarter.
I'd watch October into December hardest. That's when the rare-earth cliff either lapses or gets waved off, when El Nino peaks and breaks whatever it breaks, when PJM's auction either lands the megawatts or doesn't, when Google's first chips either survive orbit or don't, and when the midterms turn power bills into votes. A lot settles in one quarter — and given the year, I wouldn't bet the whole board on the calm read.
Worth holding loosely, though. A toothless self-regulator can grow teeth — FINRA did, eventually — and a deadline is a negotiation, not a wall; the rare-earth freeze already slipped once. The likeliest 2028 isn't one clean cliff. It's slippage: everything a little slower, a little more gas-fired, a little more governed-by-the-governed than anyone meant to admit. And the thing I keep circling back to isn't on the countdown at all — this fall an edit inside a living body just kept working, for months, while the rest of us argued about the whistle.
Signal Intensity
A domain-level score (0-100) representing the volume and momentum of frontier activity detected across the signals in that domain.
AI
96
%
Climate
94
%
BIOTECH
63
%
GEOPOLITICS
81
%
ENERGY
97
%
SOCIETY
90
%
SPACE
66
%
Cross-Domain Synthesis
The seam this week is the same one, pulled a little tighter. Three labs built themselves a referee — SAFA, a FINRA-for-AI they want live by early 2027 — and the more people read the fine print, the less it looks like it can do. No power to block a launch. No power to fine anyone. So the odd thing keeps happening: the companies that stood up the private referee are also asking Washington for a real one. And this week California didn't wait — Newsom signed a law making chatbot makers run risk checks and pay up to $1M per child they harm. The question was never whether anyone regulates this. It's who, and whether they can make it stick.
The thing being regulated keeps outrunning the paperwork. Four labs shipped frontier models in the first week of September, and GPT-6 Astra is posting near-perfect scores on the hard benchmarks. You can't finish a standard for a model that's two versions old by the time you publish it. Meanwhile the physical layers keep dates the software doesn't. China's rare-earth freeze lapses November 10, and the Trump-Xi meeting in Washington on the 24th put the deadline on the table without moving it — analysts still call it relief without resolution. PJM, the biggest grid in the country, couldn't buy enough power for the first time ever, and its fix is a $20 billion scramble for plants, with the auction landing around September 30. The megawatts get built or they don't.
That bill went straight to the kitchen table. The House voted 417 to 3 to make data centers pay for their own grid upgrades, and days later the Senate couldn't fast-track it — one camp wants FERC to actually have jurisdiction, the other wants voluntary state deals. Capacity prices went from $29 a megawatt-day to $329 in two years. Bills are up double digits in Virginia, Illinois and Ohio. Amazon, Microsoft and a line of fusion startups keep signing reactors, but none of that switches on in time to help, so near-term the gap burns gas. Overhead, Google's about to find out whether AI chips survive orbit — Suncatcher goes up October 1. Every one of these has a date, and they're all crammed into the same eight weeks.
The layer that answers to none of it is biology. A gene-edited pig kidney ran 271 days without dialysis and left the patient clean for a human transplant afterward. A delivery tweak just pushed in-body editing to 67% of a mouse liver in a single shot. And the ocean's on its own clock too — the WMO says this El Nino is the most certain forecast it's ever made, very strong, peaking at year's end, while the Arctic just closed out one of its ten lowest-ice years on record. No cliff, no cloture vote. While everyone fights over who holds the whistle, the slow layers keep compounding.














